Browsing by Author "Kara, Erkan"

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    İnternet Trafik Hızının Tahmininde Derin Öğrenme ve Ağaç Tabanlı Modellerin Karşılaştırılması
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2025) Filiz, Gozde; Altıntaş, Suat; Yıldız, Ayşenur; Kara, Erkan; Drias, Yassine; Çakar, Tuna
    This study addresses the prediction of internet traffic speed using time-dependent data from an internet service provider through different modeling approaches. On an anonymized dataset, the performance of the moving average method, various deep learning models (N-BEATS, N-HITS, TimesNet, TSMixer, LSTM), and the XGBoost regression model enhanced with feature engineering was compared. Time series cross-validation and random hyperparameter search were used for model training. According to the results, the XGBoost model achieved the highest accuracy with 98.7% explained variance (R2), while among the deep learning models, N-BEATS and N-HITS achieved the best performance with R2 values around 90%. The findings indicate that tree-based methods supported by carefully selected features can offer higher accuracy and computational efficiency compared to complex deep learning models in internet traffic forecasting. © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
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    Analyzing Customer Churn: a Comparative Study of Machine Learning Models on Pay-Tv Subscribers in Turkey
    (IEEE, 2023) Obalı, Emir; Çalışkan, Sibel Kırmızıgül; Karani Yılmaz, Veysel; Kara, Erkan; Meşe, Yasemin Kürtcü; Çakar, Tuna; Yıldız, Ayşenur; Hataş, Tuğce Aydın
    Understanding the reasons for customer churn provides added value in terms of retaining existing customers, as customer attrition leads to revenue loss for companies and incurs marketing costs for acquiring new customers. In this study, the 6-month historical data of a Pay-TV company operating in Turkey was used, and due to the imbalanced nature of the dataset on a label basis, the oversampling method was applied. During the model development phase, various artificial learning algorithms (Random Forest, Logistic Regression, KNearest Neighbors, Decision Tree, AdaBoost, XGBoost, Extra Tree Classifier) were utilized, and their performances were compared. Based on the evaluation of success criteria for each model, it was observed that the tree-based Random Forest, Extra Tree Classifier and XGBoost achieved the highest performance for this dataset.