Endüstri Mühendisliği Bölümü Koleksiyonu

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11779/1942

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Citation - WoS: 1
Citation - Scopus: 1
Determining and Evaluating New Store Locations Using Remote Sensing and Machine Learning
(Tübitak, 2021) Ünsalan, Cem; Turgay, Zeynep Zerrin; Küçükaydın, Hande; Höke, Berkan
Decision making for store locations is crucial for retail companies as the profit depends on the location. The key point for correct store location is profit approximation, which is highly dependent on population of the corresponding region, and hence, the volume of the residential area. Thus, estimating building volumes provides insight about the revenue if a new store is about to be opened there. Remote sensing through stereo/tri-stereo satellite images provides wide area coverage as well as adequate resolution for three dimensional reconstruction for volume estimation. We reconstruct 3D map of corresponding region with the help of semiglobal matching and mask R-CNN algorithms for this purpose. Using the existing store data, we construct models for estimating the revenue based on surrounding building volumes. In order to choose the right location, the suitable utility model, which calculates store revenues, shouldbe rigorously determined. Moreover, model parameters should be assessed as correctly as possible. Instead of using randomly generated parameters, we employ remote sensing, computer vision, and machine learning techniques, which provide a novel way for evaluating new store locations.
Citation - WoS: 42
Citation - Scopus: 39
Electric Vehicle Routing With Flexible Time Windows: a Column Generation Solution Approach
(Taylor & Francis, 2020) Taş, Duygu
In this paper, we introduce the Electric Vehicle Routing Problem with Flexible Time Windows (EVRPFTW) in which vehicles are allowed to serve customers before and after the earliest and latest time window bounds, respectively. The objective of this problem is to assign electric vehicles to feasible routes and make schedules with minimum total cost that includes the traveling costs, the costs of using electric vehicles and the penalty costs incurred for earliness and lateness. The proposed mathematical model is solved by a column generation procedure. To generate an integer solution, we solve an integer programming problem using the routes constructed by the column generation algorithm. We further develop a linear programming model to compute the optimal times to start service at each customer for the selected routes. A number of wellknown benchmark instances is solved by our solution procedure to evaluate the operational gains obtained by employing flexible time windows.
Citation - WoS: 11
Citation - Scopus: 18
Minimizing the Misinformation Spread in Social Networks
(Taylor and Francis, 2019) Güney, Evren; Kuban, İ. Kuban Altınel; Tanınmış, Kübra; Aras, Necati
The Influence Maximization Problem has been widely studied in recent years, due to rich application areas including marketing. It involves finding k nodes to trigger a spread such that the expected number of influenced nodes is maximized. The problem we address in this study is an extension of the reverse influence maximization problem, i.e., misinformation minimization problem where two players make decisions sequentially in the form of a Stackelberg game. The first player aims to minimize the spread of misinformation whereas the second player aims its maximization. Two algorithms, one greedy heuristic and one matheuristic, are proposed for the first player’s problem. In both of them, the second player’s problem is approximated by Sample Average Approximation, a well-known method for solving two-stage stochastic programming problems, that is augmented with a state-of-the-art algorithm developed for the influence maximization problem.
Citation - WoS: 54
Citation - Scopus: 59
Extension of Capital Budgeting Techniques Using Interval-Valued Fermatean Fuzzy Sets
(IOS Press, 2022) Sergi, Duygu; Sarı, İrem Uçal; Senapati, Tapan
Capital budgeting requires dealing with high uncertainty from the unknown characteristics of cash flow, interest rate, and study period forecasts for future periods. Many fuzzy extensions of capital budgeting techniques have been proposed and used in a wide range of applications to deal with uncertainty. In this paper, a new fuzzy extension of the most used capital budgeting techniques is proposed. In this content, first interval-valued Fermatean fuzzy sets (IVFFS s) are defined, and the algebraic and aggregation operations are determined for interval-valued Fermatean fuzzy (IVFF) numbers. The formulations of IVFF net present value, IVFF equivalent uniform annual value, and IVFF benefit-cost ratio (B/C) methods are generated. To validate the proposed methods, proposed formulations are illustrated with a hypothetical example, and the results are compared with classical fuzzy capital budgeting techniques.
Citation - WoS: 61
Citation - Scopus: 65
Carbon Price Forecasting Models Based on Big Data Analytics
(Taylor and Francis Ltd., 2019) Çanakoğlu, Ethem; Ağralı, Semra; Yahşi, Mustafa
After the establishment of the European Union's Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) carbon pricing attracted many researchers. This paper aims to develop a prediction model that anticipates future carbon prices given a real-world data set. We treat the carbon pricing issue as part of big data analytics to achieve this goal. We apply three fundamental methodologies to characterize the carbon price. First method is the artificial neural network, which mimics the principle of human brain to process relevant data. As a second approach, we apply the decision tree algorithm. This algorithm is structured through making multiple binary decisions, and it is mostly used for classification. We employ two different decision tree algorithms, namely traditional and conditional, to determine the type of decision tree that gives better results in terms of prediction. Finally, we exploit the random forest, which is a more complex algorithm compared to the decision tree. Similar to the decision tree, we test both traditional and conditional random forest algorithms to analyze their performances. We use Brent crude futures, coal, electricity and natural gas prices, and DAX and S&P Clean Energy Index as explanatory variables. We analyze the variables' effects on carbon price forecasting. According to our results, S&P Clean Energy Index is the most influential variable in explaining the changes in carbon price, followed by DAX Index and coal price. Moreover, we conclude that the traditional random forest is the best algorithm based on all indicators. We provide the details of these methods and their comparisons.
Citation - WoS: 1
Citation - Scopus: 1
A Decomposition Algorithm for Single and Multiobjective Integrated Market Selection and Production Planning
(Informs, 2023) van den Heuvel, Wilco; Ağralı, Semra; Taşkın, Z. Caner
We study an integrated market selection and production planning problem. There is a set of markets with deterministic demand, and each market has a certain revenue that is obtained if the market's demand is satisfied throughout a planning horizon. The demand is satisfied with a production scheme that has a lot-sizing structure. The problem is to decide on which markets' demand to satisfy and plan the production simultaneously. We consider both single and multiobjective settings. The single objective problem maximizes the profit, whereas the multiobjective problem includes the maximization of the revenue and the minimization of the production cost objectives. We develop a decomposition-based exact solution algorithm for the single objective setting and show how it can be used in a proposed three-phase algorithm for the multiobjective setting. The master problem chooses a subset of markets, and the subproblem calculates an optimal production plan to satisfy the selected markets' demand. We investigate the subproblem from a cooperative game theory perspective to devise cuts and strengthen them based on lifting. We also propose a set of valid inequalities and preprocessing rules to improve the proposed algorithm. We test the efficacy of our solution method over a suite of problem instances and show that our algorithm substantially decreases solution times for all problem instances.
A Lot-Sizing Problem in Deliberated and Controlled Co-Production Systems
(Taylor and Francis, 2021) Kabakulak, Banu; Ağralı, Semra; Taşkın, Z. Caner; Pamuk, Bahadır
We consider an uncapacitated lot sizing problem in co-production systems, in which it is possible to produce multiple items simultaneously in a single production run. Each product has a deterministic demand to be satisfied on time. The decision is to choose which items to co-produce and the amount of production throughout a predetermined planning horizon. We show that the lot sizing problem with co-production is strongly NP-Hard. Then, we develop various mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) formulation of the problem and show that LP relaxations of all MILPs are equal. We develop a separation algorithm based on a set of valid inequalities, lower bounds based on a dynamic lot-sizing relaxation of our problem and a constructive heuristic that is used to obtain an initial solution for the solver, which form the basis of our proposed Branch & Cut algorithm for the problem. We test our models and algorithms on different data sets and provide the results.
Citation - WoS: 2
Citation - Scopus: 5
Increasing Procurement Efficiency Through Optimal E-Commerce Enablement Scheduling
(Emerald Group Publishing Ltd., 2019) Özlük, Özgür; Cholette, Susan; Clark, Andrew G
Purpose: This study aims to show how cost savings can be achieved through optimizing the scheduling of e-commerce enablements. The University of California is one of the largest, most prestigious public education and research systems in the world, yet diminished state support is driving the search for system-wide cost savings. Design/methodology/approach: This study documents the preparation for and rollout of an e-procurement system across a subset of campuses. A math programing tool was developed for prioritizing the gradual rollout to generate the greatest expected savings subject to resource constraints. Findings: The authors conclude by summarizing the results of the rollout, discussing lessons learned and their benefit to decision-makers at other public institutions. Originality/value: The pilot program comprising three campuses has been predicted to yield $1.2m in savings over a one-year period; additional sensitivity analysis with respect to savings, project timelines and other rollout decisions illustrate the robustness of these findings.
Analysis of a New Business Model To Fundraise Non-Governmental Organizations Using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps
(IOS Press, 2020) Aytore, Can; Sergi, Duygu; Ucal Sari, Irema
Fundraising is one of the most critical issues for non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to carry out their projects. In this paper, a search engine project which aims to find additional financial sources and increase donations for NGOs is proposed. The proposed search engine project is analyzed using fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) to define and manage factor influences on the success of the project. FCMs are useful tools to define long term effects of important factors for a system. First casual relations of the factors are determined and then using sigmoid function for learning algorithm, the equilibrium state for the system is obtained. It is found that the factors generating monetary values are the most important ones for the project to be successful in long term.
Citation - WoS: 3
Citation - Scopus: 5
Consumer Loans' First Payment Default Detection: a Predictive Model
(TUBITAK SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL RESEARCH COUNCIL, 2020) Sevgili, Türkan; Koç, Utku
A default loan (also called nonperforming loan) occurs when there is a failure to meet bank conditions and repayment cannot be made in accordance with the terms of the loan which has reached its maturity. In this study, we provide a predictive analysis of the consumer behavior concerning a loan’s first payment default (FPD) using a real dataset of consumer loans with approximately 600,000 records from a bank. We use logistic regression, naive Bayes, support vector machine, and random forest on oversampled and undersampled data to build eight different models to predict FPD loans. A two-class random forest using undersampling yielded more than 86% on all performance measures: accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. The corresponding scores are even as high as 96% for oversampling. However, when tested on the real and balanced dataset, the performance of oversampling deteriorates as generating synthetic data for an extremely imbalanced dataset harms the training procedure of the algorithms. The study also provides an understanding of the reasons for nonperforming loans and helps to manage credit risks more consciously.

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