Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11779/1791
Title: | Effects of Vaccination and the Spatio-Temporal Diffusion of Covid-19 Incidence in Turkey |
Authors: | Bilgel, Fırat Karahasan, Burhan Can |
Keywords: | Models China Space |
Publisher: | John Wiley and Sons Inc |
Source: | Bilgel, F., & Karahasan, B. C. (04 June 2022). Effects of vaccination and the spatio-temporal diffusion of Covid-19 incidence in Turkey. Geographical Analysis. pp. 1-28. https://doi.org/10.1111/gean.12335 |
Abstract: | This study assesses the spatio-temporal impact of vaccination efforts on Covid-19 incidence growth in Turkey. Incorporating geographical features of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, we adopt a spatial Susceptible–Infected–Recovered (SIR) model that serves as a guide of our empirical specification. Using provincial weekly panel data, we estimate a dynamic spatial autoregressive (SAR) model to elucidate the short- and the long-run impact of vaccination on Covid-19 incidence growth after controlling for temporal and spatio-temporal diffusion, testing capacity, social distancing behavior and unobserved space-varying confounders. Results show that vaccination growth reduces Covid-19 incidence growth rate directly and indirectly by creating a positive externality over space. The significant association between vaccination and Covid-19 incidence is robust to a host of spatial weight matrix specifications. Conspicuous spatial and temporal diffusion effects of Covid-19 incidence growth were found across all specifications: the former being a severer threat to the containment of the pandemic than the latter. |
URI: | https://doi.org/10.1111/gean.12335 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11779/1791 |
ISSN: | 0016-7363 1538-4632 |
Appears in Collections: | COVID-19 Konulu Yayınlar Koleksiyonu Ekonomi Bölümü Koleksiyonu PubMed İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / PubMed Indexed Publications Collection Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / WoS Indexed Publications Collection |
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Geographical Analysis - 2022 - Bilgel - Effects of Vaccination and the Spatio‐Temporal Diffusion of Covid‐19 Incidence in.pdf | Full Text - Article | 3.32 MB | Adobe PDF | ![]() View/Open |
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