Endüstri Mühendisliği Bölümü Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11779/1942
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Article A Lot-Sizing Problem in Deliberated and Controlled Co-Production Systems(Taylor and Francis, 2022-02-11) Kabakulak, Banu; Ağralı, Semra; Taşkın, Z. Caner; Pamuk, BahadırWe consider an uncapacitated lot sizing problem in co-production systems, in which it is possible to produce multiple items simultaneously in a single production run. Each product has a deterministic demand to be satisfied on time. The decision is to choose which items to co-produce and the amount of production throughout a predetermined planning horizon. We show that the lot sizing problem with co-production is strongly NP-Hard. Then, we develop various mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) formulation of the problem and show that LP relaxations of all MILPs are equal. We develop a separation algorithm based on a set of valid inequalities, lower bounds based on a dynamic lot-sizing relaxation of our problem and a constructive heuristic that is used to obtain an initial solution for the solver, which form the basis of our proposed Branch & Cut algorithm for the problem. We test our models and algorithms on different data sets and provide the results.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 2Determining and Evaluating New Store Locations Using Remote Sensing and Machine Learning(Tübitak, 2021-05-31) Ünsalan, Cem; Turgay, Zeynep Zerrin; Küçükaydın, Hande; Höke, BerkanDecision making for store locations is crucial for retail companies as the profit depends on the location. The key point for correct store location is profit approximation, which is highly dependent on population of the corresponding region, and hence, the volume of the residential area. Thus, estimating building volumes provides insight about the revenue if a new store is about to be opened there. Remote sensing through stereo/tri-stereo satellite images provides wide area coverage as well as adequate resolution for three dimensional reconstruction for volume estimation. We reconstruct 3D map of corresponding region with the help of semiglobal matching and mask R-CNN algorithms for this purpose. Using the existing store data, we construct models for estimating the revenue based on surrounding building volumes. In order to choose the right location, the suitable utility model, which calculates store revenues, shouldbe rigorously determined. Moreover, model parameters should be assessed as correctly as possible. Instead of using randomly generated parameters, we employ remote sensing, computer vision, and machine learning techniques, which provide a novel way for evaluating new store locations.Article Analysis of a New Business Model To Fundraise Non-Governmental Organizations Using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps(IOS Press, 2020-08-06) Aytore, Can; Sergi, Duygu; Ucal Sari, Irema; Sari, Irem UcalFundraising is one of the most critical issues for non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to carry out their projects. In this paper, a search engine project which aims to find additional financial sources and increase donations for NGOs is proposed. The proposed search engine project is analyzed using fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) to define and manage factor influences on the success of the project. FCMs are useful tools to define long term effects of important factors for a system. First casual relations of the factors are determined and then using sigmoid function for learning algorithm, the equilibrium state for the system is obtained. It is found that the factors generating monetary values are the most important ones for the project to be successful in long term.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 6Consumer Loans' First Payment Default (fpd) Detection and Predictive Model(TUBITAK SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL RESEARCH COUNCIL, 2020-01-27) Sevgili, Türkan; Koç, Utku; Koç, UtkuThe project is based on the opinion that whether the loan applications which are profitable could be granted instead of prone the default (FPD) ones by using predictive models in machine learning by the credit decision authorities in banking sector. Default Loan (also called non-performing loan) occurs when there is a failure to meet bank conditions and cannot be repaid in accordance with the terms of the loan which has reached its maturity. This report is a research effort in the analysis of default loan applicants, especially FPD, from a real dataset obtained from a bank. Expectation from the study is that increase the efficiency of consumer loan allocation by providing predictive analysis of the consumer behavior concerning loan’s first payment default. FPD detection analysis is a crucial role for the determination of consumer loans at the application level. The study also provides an understanding on the reasons of non-performing loans and helps to manage credit risks more consciously. The methods proposed in this study can be extended to other individual consumer loans such as car credits and mortgage.Article Citation - WoS: 44Citation - Scopus: 42Electric Vehicle Routing With Flexible Time Windows: a Column Generation Solution Approach(Taylor & Francis, 2020-01-10) Taş, DuyguIn this paper, we introduce the Electric Vehicle Routing Problem with Flexible Time Windows (EVRPFTW) in which vehicles are allowed to serve customers before and after the earliest and latest time window bounds, respectively. The objective of this problem is to assign electric vehicles to feasible routes and make schedules with minimum total cost that includes the traveling costs, the costs of using electric vehicles and the penalty costs incurred for earliness and lateness. The proposed mathematical model is solved by a column generation procedure. To generate an integer solution, we solve an integer programming problem using the routes constructed by the column generation algorithm. We further develop a linear programming model to compute the optimal times to start service at each customer for the selected routes. A number of wellknown benchmark instances is solved by our solution procedure to evaluate the operational gains obtained by employing flexible time windows.Article Citation - WoS: 12Citation - Scopus: 19Minimizing the Misinformation Spread in Social Networks(Taylor and Francis, 2019-11-21) Güney, Evren; Kuban, İ. Kuban Altınel; Tanınmış, Kübra; Aras, Necati; Altinel, I. KubanThe Influence Maximization Problem has been widely studied in recent years, due to rich application areas including marketing. It involves finding k nodes to trigger a spread such that the expected number of influenced nodes is maximized. The problem we address in this study is an extension of the reverse influence maximization problem, i.e., misinformation minimization problem where two players make decisions sequentially in the form of a Stackelberg game. The first player aims to minimize the spread of misinformation whereas the second player aims its maximization. Two algorithms, one greedy heuristic and one matheuristic, are proposed for the first player’s problem. In both of them, the second player’s problem is approximated by Sample Average Approximation, a well-known method for solving two-stage stochastic programming problems, that is augmented with a state-of-the-art algorithm developed for the influence maximization problem.Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 5Increasing Procurement Efficiency Through Optimal E-Commerce Enablement Scheduling(Emerald Group Publishing Ltd., 2019-06-03) Özlük, Özgür; Cholette, Susan; Clark, Andrew GPurpose: This study aims to show how cost savings can be achieved through optimizing the scheduling of e-commerce enablements. The University of California is one of the largest, most prestigious public education and research systems in the world, yet diminished state support is driving the search for system-wide cost savings. Design/methodology/approach: This study documents the preparation for and rollout of an e-procurement system across a subset of campuses. A math programing tool was developed for prioritizing the gradual rollout to generate the greatest expected savings subject to resource constraints. Findings: The authors conclude by summarizing the results of the rollout, discussing lessons learned and their benefit to decision-makers at other public institutions. Originality/value: The pilot program comprising three campuses has been predicted to yield $1.2m in savings over a one-year period; additional sensitivity analysis with respect to savings, project timelines and other rollout decisions illustrate the robustness of these findings.Article Citation - WoS: 65Citation - Scopus: 72Carbon Price Forecasting Models Based on Big Data Analytics(Taylor and Francis Ltd., 2019-02-17) Çanakoğlu, Ethem; Ağralı, Semra; Yahşi, MustafaAfter the establishment of the European Union's Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) carbon pricing attracted many researchers. This paper aims to develop a prediction model that anticipates future carbon prices given a real-world data set. We treat the carbon pricing issue as part of big data analytics to achieve this goal. We apply three fundamental methodologies to characterize the carbon price. First method is the artificial neural network, which mimics the principle of human brain to process relevant data. As a second approach, we apply the decision tree algorithm. This algorithm is structured through making multiple binary decisions, and it is mostly used for classification. We employ two different decision tree algorithms, namely traditional and conditional, to determine the type of decision tree that gives better results in terms of prediction. Finally, we exploit the random forest, which is a more complex algorithm compared to the decision tree. Similar to the decision tree, we test both traditional and conditional random forest algorithms to analyze their performances. We use Brent crude futures, coal, electricity and natural gas prices, and DAX and S&P Clean Energy Index as explanatory variables. We analyze the variables' effects on carbon price forecasting. According to our results, S&P Clean Energy Index is the most influential variable in explaining the changes in carbon price, followed by DAX Index and coal price. Moreover, we conclude that the traditional random forest is the best algorithm based on all indicators. We provide the details of these methods and their comparisons.
