Artificial Intelligence Driven Multivariate Time Series Analysis of Network Traffic Prediction

Abstract

The primary objective of this research is to employ artificial intelligence, machine learning, and neural networks in order to construct a network traffic prediction model. The analysis of network traffic data obtained from a digital media and entertainment provider operating in Turkey is conducted through the application of multivariate time-series analysis techniques in order to get insights into the temporal patterns and trends. In model development, Vector Autoregression (VAR), Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) algorithms have been utilized. LSTM and GRU models have performed better with low Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and high R-squared Score (R2). LSTM model has reached 0.98 R2 and 8.95% MAPE. These results indicate that the models can be utilized in network management optimization as resource allocation, congestion detection, anomaly detection, and quality of service. © 2024 IEEE.